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The Twin Insurgency and AMLO's Mexico


The Twin Insurgency (Gilman) and Mexico's Fourth Transformation

Gilman’s article came to my attention while I was reading Carlos Fazio’s discussion of the plutocratic offensive in Mexico and elsewhere around the world.  The plutocratic offensive is one part of Gilman’s article.  The other is the expansion of international crime.  Both of these developments are closely associated with neoliberal globalization.  The plutocratic offensive can be understood in terms of David Harvey’s discussion of a ruling class offensive against the constraints and regulatory burdens of Fordism in the context of the economic slowdowns of the 1970s.  What all of this comprised was an assault on what Gilman refers to as social modernism, which was built on the foundation of the generating patterns of growth that would benefits broad sectors of the middle classes, including organized workers and the professional middle classes.  A key to this pattern of development was the willingness of economic elites to underwrite the well being of the middle classes, broadly construed.  The ideological retreat from social modernism proceeded in a multitude of different ways.  The key result of all this was that the middle classes lost the political agency with which they might have contested the plutocratic offensive.   In many respects, they assented to it because the old Fordist or ISI (in the case of Mexico) model of growth was broke.  The capitalist restructuring at the heart of the plutocratic offensive led to massive economic dislocation and also a withdrawal of government from public provision. At the same time, it opened up new flows of the goods and money as a result of the deregulation of trade and finance.  As Gilman writes, opening the economy was meant to unleash entrepreneurial energy, and indeed it did” (2014, p. 11).  Deviant entrepreneurs could now arbitrage moral and regulatory standards between different jurisdictions.  Small scale criminal organizations scaled up operations, drawing into their orbit groups that were subject to economic and political marginalization as a result of the plutocratic offensive. 

Criminal insurgencies want to carve out spaces in which to operate.  There are a couple of dynamics at work here.  First there is competition between these spaces, which, given the declining capacity of the state to enforce a legal order, unfolds in terms of violent conflict.   The tendency in Mexico has been the corruption of security forces by criminal insurgencies and also the formation of linkages between plutocratic and criminal insurgencies. The latter emerges, for example, as a result of money laundering or by means of how capitalists use cartels as informal security forces.  Sometimes, as in the cases of Peru and Colombia, the state creates legal mechanisms for the development of privatized security forces that operate in the service of extractive capitalists.  The pattern in Mexico seems to be focused on the development of informal ad hoc groups in a manner that is reminiscent of Mdembe’s discussion of war machines.  Gilman says that criminal insurgencies cripple the state.  This can be understood in geographically.  There are regions of the state where the rule of law depends more on criminal insurgencies than the state itself.  The growing weakness of the state encourages further expansion of criminal insurgencies.  An interesting point that Gilman raises here is the mistake of supposing that areas that are disconnected from globalization are the world’s most insecure regions.  In fact, failed states are deeply connected to the global economy.  At issue here are the nature of these connections and how they transform political space.  In this sense, we can think of criminal insurgencies as both a cause and an effect of the hollowing out of the state that was instigated by the plutocratic offensive.  What emerges in these areas are lumpen states, governed by coalitions of criminal insurgents and corrupted public authorities of all kinds.  This political fragmentation corrodes the space of the nation state, considered as both a legal order and as a mode of political community characteristic of modernity, where people have emerged out of the broken shell of tradition in order to participate in civil society as rational beings committed to the public good.  This is the conception of democracy associated with the advent of a progressive, enlightenment oriented modernity.

What emerges instead is what sociologist Bryan Turner has referred to as an enclave society.  There are exlusive enclaves of the rich and feral no go zones linked to criminal insurgencies and all manner of hyrid zones.  But the general pattern is neither the criminal nor the plutocratic insurgency seeks to overturn the state.  They want, instead, to create their own autonomous zones with the state or, more perniciously, to extort the state.   In both cases, suggests Gillman, they “freeride on the institutional legacy of social modernism” (13).  The sovereignty of the state is eclipsed by a pathwork of micro-sovereignties, all of which acts to replace equality under the law with blurred lines of authority between politics, private security, the military, paramilitaries, and criminal organizations.   Gilman:  “The proliferation of exceptional and unique micro-sovereignties increases the scope for insurgents to engage in jurisdictional arbitrage and generates demands by other insurgence from their own sovereign exceptions” (14).  As micro-sovereignties proliferate, services that were once considered to be public goods – the most important of which is security – becoming subject to privatization.  The disappearance of public goods also has the effect of devaluing citizenship.  What should one have any allegiance to the nation state when it is unable to provide essential services?  It is better to cast one’s loyalty with the local drug lord or with the huachicols.  Or with the local militia.  The result of this is the displacement of national belonging, based on the idea of territorial kinship (see Steven Grosby) in favor of neo-tribalism. 

A very clear illustration of this in the case of Mexico is AMLO’s policy response to huachicol – the practice of stealing natural resources.   AMLO creates assistance programs for the municipalities that border the oil and gas pipelines of central Mexico, with the expectation that communities members will the dissolve their linkages to the huachicol, inform of the criminal groups and participate in the restoration of the state’s authority over its resources and territory.  The same logic also applies to AMLO’s policy of amnesty for individuals that have been involved in organized crime – as poppy cultivators, for instance.  Amnesty is oriented toward bringing them back into the national fold.  So too is the provision of scholarships, so that young people will opt to study rather than engage in some form of organized crime.  In general terms, I think the Grosby’s notion of the nation as a form of territorial kinship can be tied to the rhetoric of the Fourth Transformation.  4t is about the history of a people; its historical struggle to realize itself through struggles against different forms of foreign domination – the Spanish Crown, the conservatives, the Porifian elite and the PRIAN.   4t is of interest because it is a political movement that aspires, at least in terms of its rhetoric, to reverse the effects of Gilmans’ twin insurgencies.  What I would like to do with the Global Studies Association paper is to assess the capacity of the AMLO the the 4t to modify the trajectory of neoliberalism, which can be understood in terms of the unfolding logic of the twin insurgency.  The overall tendency is to destroy not only the middle classes, but also the political community of the nation state.  The destruction works, in part, by hollowing out any confidence that people might have in the capacity of nation state to serve their basic interest.  Gilman’s broad middle classes are left with the choice of either enduring a progressive loss of security and a defacto social degradation or – if they can – joining one of the two insurgencies that disintegrating the nation state.  But this is a hard leap to make given the disposition of the middle classes to play by the rules and to organize their lives on the premise of economic and political stability.

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